AGP Executive Report
Last update: 6 hours agoHormuz & Oil Flows: Iraq’s Basrah crude exports rebounded in July to about 1.4M bpd after months of disruption, but still far below pre-March levels as the Strait of Hormuz stays largely constrained. China-Iraq Trade: China’s July purchases of Iraqi crude plunged 98% to around 100,000 tonnes, while Russian supply rose, reshaping Middle East energy routing. US-Iran Economic Pressure: Trump escalated “economic D-Day” threats, pushing oil higher on supply-risk fears; Iran’s central bank chief said oil exports have fallen to zero amid sanctions and blocked foreign exchange. Shipping Disruptions: Project44 data shows Hormuz diversions down to a 14-week low, yet port dwell times remain stretched, with congestion hitting Navi Mumbai, Turkish gateways and Singapore. Maritime Security: Pirates hijacked a Cameroon-flagged ship off Somalia carrying Turkish weapons, underscoring rising risk for Red Sea and Gulf of Aden routes. Aviation Disruption: A staff strike at Israel’s Ben-Gurion Airport shut check-in and left many flights departing without luggage, while Turkish aircraft presence in Cypriot airspace was called a “recurring operational fact” by regulators. Regional Diplomacy: Egypt and Qatar urged a return to the US-Iran MoU framework to restore Hormuz navigation and protect shipping. Defense & Tech: Türkiye used TEKNOFEST Blue Homeland to showcase naval modernization and unmanned systems, while Aselsan highlighted an autonomous underwater vehicle for port and infrastructure security.
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